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Territorial Development Environment

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Climate change impacts on water resources and flood risk

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Frame of Image h ensemble typhoon routes 5. Simple statistical downscaling with multi-scale GCM output The Hydrologic Cycle and Watershed How do Hydrological Predictions Work? dS/dt = P – E – R dS/dt P E : storage changes per time step [mm h-1] R : precipitation [mm h-1] : evaporation [mm h-1] : discharge [mm h-1] Hydrologic Analysis for WRM and FRM ”How much water is there at where and when?” Source: http://unit.aist.go.jp/georesenv/gwrg/ken-eng.html Hydrologic Analysis for WRM and FRM ”How much water is there at where and when?” 14: 22 14: 36 14: 40 14: 44 Heading to adaptation Worst case scenario Survivability Critical, edge of Survivability There is high uncertainty in projected design value Projected design value It is almost certain that average of design value would increase. Design value as return value Range for disaster prevention MRI-AGCM20km • Spatial Resolution 1920×960 grid cells (20 km) with 60 vertical levels (TL959L60) • Temporal Resolution Hourly precipitation with other daily variables • SST Boundary Condition Observed HadISST1 dataset for controlled run Ensemble Mean of CMIP3 A1B scenario for projection run • A1B scenario of Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) 2.5˚temperature increase and 720 ppm of CO2 concentration by 2100 Research Concepts 1. Data Evaluation 2. Simulation AMeDAS Observation Hydrologic Model (Calibration) Compare to validate Compare to validate AGCM20 (Present) AGCM20 (Future) Hydrologic Model (Simulation) Simulated Discharge Discharge (Future


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Title Climate change impacts on water resources and flood risk
Similar Titles
Material Type Proceeding
Author(English)

Kim, Sunmin

Publisher

Japan : Kyoto University
Date 2012-06
Event

2012 Climate Prediction and Application Training

Event [Workshop] 2012 Climate Prediction and Application Training Program for Green Growth in Developing Countries
Series Title; No 2012 Climate Prediction and Application Training
Pages 64
Language English
File Type Documents
Original Format pdf
Subject Territorial Development < Environment
Holding APEC Climate Center
Recipient Country Indonesia(Asia and Pacific)
Cambodia(Asia and Pacific)
Mongolia(Asia and Pacific)
Philippines(Asia and Pacific)
Thailand(Asia and Pacific)
Vietnam(Asia and Pacific)
Organizer APEC climate center
Venue APEC climate center
Program Type Workshop
Project Term 2012-06-04 ~ 2012-06-15
License

Abstract

2012 Climate Prediction and Application Training Program for Green Growth in Developing Countries

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