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일반균형모형을 이용한 한국경제의 성장 분석(Analysis on the Korea's economic growth using the general equilibrium mode) : 1990~2010

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Frame of Image 본 연구의 주요 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 지난 20년간의 우리 경제의 1인당 GDP 성장률은 대체적으로 총요소생산성의 성장·발전에 기인하며, 총요소생산성과 같은 추세를 보이는 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 노동투입요소 로서의 근로시간 하락은 노동소득세의 상승에 일부 기인한 것으로 보이고, 노동시장 내에서의 효율성은, 합리적 가계의 균형조건에서의 이탈(wedge) 을 통해 살펴본 결과, 개선되고 있는 것을 발견하였다. 정책당국은 생산요 소의 성장에 대한 조세의 영향을 인식하고 경제정책의 의사결정에 있어 판 단자료로 삼아야 할 것이다. 셋째, 자본-노동 비율이 상승하는 것으로 나 타나 우리 경제에서 자본심화가 진행 중인 것으로 보이며, 이는 경제구조 발간사 자체가 자본집약적 산업구조로 이행해 가고 있음을 의미하는 것으로 보인 다. 이와 같은 결과는 향후 경제정책의 의사결정에 유용한 참고자료가 될 것으로 기대된다. 본 연구의 저자는 자료 정리와 분석에 도움을 준 현지윤 연구원과 구희 일 연구원, 편집을 도와준 연구행정원들, 그리고 본 보고서에 대해 유익한 의견을 준 익명의 검토자 두 분께 감사의 뜻을 전하고 있다. 끝으로 본 보고서에 제시된 내용은 저자 개인의 의견이며, 본원의 공식 견해가 아님을 밝혀둔다. 2012년 8월 한국개발연구원 원장 현오석 목차 발간사 요 약 ······························································································································· 1 제1장 서 론················································································································ 3 제2장 성장회계·········································································································· 6 제 1절 자료 ······································································································ 6 제 2절 일반균형이론을 이용한 성장회계 ························································· 9 제3장 동태적 일반균형모형··················································································3 1 제 1절 기본모형(baseline model) ·································································· 13 제 2절 경쟁균형의 정의(definition of competitive equlibirum) ····················· 14 제


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Title 일반균형모형을 이용한 한국경제의 성장 분석(Analysis on the Korea's economic growth using the general equilibrium mode)
Similar Titles
Sub Title

1990~2010
Material Type Report
Author(Korean)

이준상

Publisher

서울 : KDI
Date 2012-08
Series Title; No 정책연구시리즈 / 2012-01
ISBN 978-89-8063-658-7(93320)
Pages 61
Subject Country South Korea(Asia and Pacific)
Language Korean
File Type Documents
Original Format pdf
Subject Economy < Financial Policy
Holding KDI; KDI School of Public Policy and Management
License

Abstract

Growth accounting has been widely used to measure the contributions of various factors to economic growth since Robert Solow in 1957. However, growth accounting fails to explain and implicate each contribution when viewing macroeconomy under general equilibrium. This study utilizes general equilibrium theory to analyze the growth of the Korean economy. The general equilibrium model holds microfoundation such as optimizing behavior of economic agents; hence it allows studying of channels in which economic agents optimize in the economy.
The outcomes of the study include: First, in general, Korea's per capital GDP growth rate and the growth rate of total factor productivity for the past two decades showed similar trends; Second, the fall in hours worked appears to be partly attributable to the increase in the wage (income) tax, and in addition, labor market efficiency is found to be improving, since the labor market wedge, which is derived from the equilibrium labor condition, has become smaller. The policy authority should realize the impacts of taxation on the growth of production factor and its implication when making decisions on economic policies; and third, the capital-labor ratio is on the rise, which is a sign of capital deepening, and further it indicates that the economic structure of Korea is now in transition to the capital-intensive industry.