This research is designed as the second-year project of the 4-year Special Research (2011-2014). The main purpose of this research is to develop possible scenarios of future families by predicting the directions of changes as to the predictive factors for future families identified in the first-year research project conducted in 2011.
In order to develop the scenarios, four areas including labor and economic environments, science and technology, political environment, and perceptions of family were singled out as major areas that can affect the future family outlook, apart from the area of demographic environment. Then, the Delphi technique was used to identify key drivers behind family changes in the future in each area. Next, the trend of changes was forecasted for each area and hypotheses were created regarding the impact of such changes on the lives of women and their families. Based on the combination of the hypotheses, caretaking, inequality, and family values were selected as main axes of the scenarios. Then, the three axes were juxtaposed to result in a total of eight scenarios, among which five scenarios were finally selected. The five scenarios include the conflict between personal values and family life scenario, the polarization of family life scenario, the loose but intimate family scenario, the coexistence of equal society and unequal family scenario, and the maximized familial burden scenario.
가족의 미래와 여성, 가족정책전망(II)(The future of families and foresight for women and family policies in South Korea(II))
|Series Title; No||2012 연구보고서 / 12|
|ISBN||978-89-8491-524-4 94330; 978-89-8491-523-7 94330(세트)|
|Subject Country||South Korea(Asia and Pacific)|
|Subject||Social Development < Gender|
|Holding||한국여성정책연구원; KDI 국제정책대학원|