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Long-term projection for the growth pattern and industrial structure of the Korean economy

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Long-Term Projection for the Growth Pattern and Industrial Structure of the Korean Economy
Published on November 20, 2013 in Korea by KIET ⓒ2013 KIET ISBN 978-89-5992-558-2 93320
Contents
Abstract…………………………………………………………… 7 I . The Necessity of Long-Term Projection ………………… 9
1. Increasing Uncertainty in the Global Economy …………… 3. Increasing Demand of Long-Term Projection for Industrial Structure …………………………………………… 12 9 2. Structural Problems in the Korean Economy ……………… 11
II. Changes in the Domestic and International Environment for Korean Industry …………………………………………… 13 1. Environment/Energy Sector ………………………………… 13 2. Global Economy Sector………………………………………… 14 3. Technical Development Sector ……………………………… 15 4. Society/Culture Sector ………………………………………… 15 III. The Long-Term Structural Changes in the Korean Economy 18
1. Economic Growth Pattern……………………………………… 18 2. Change in Demand Structure ………………………………… 19 3. Changes in Industrial Production Structure ………………… 20 4. Change in Export Structure …………………………………… 23 5. Change in Import Structure …………………………………… 26 6. Change in Employment Structure …………………………… 29
IV. Methodology for Long-Term Projection ………………… 34
1. KIET-DIMM12 (KIET-Dynamic Inter-Industry Macroeconomic Model 12) …………………………………… 34
2. Procedure for Projection ……………………………………… 37 3. Assumptions for Domestic Exogenous Variables ………… 38 4. Assumptions for Foreign Exogenous Variables …………… 39
V. Long-Term Projection for the Economy and Industrial Structure ……


Full Text
Title Long-term projection for the growth pattern and industrial structure of the Korean economy
Similar Titles
Material Type Reports
Author(English)

Lee, Jin‐Myon; Lee, Youngho; Kim. Bawoo; Han, Jungmin; Kim, Jaejin

Publisher

[Seoul]:Korea Institute for Industrial Economics & Trade

Date 2013-11
Series Title; No KIET Occasional Paper / 92
Pages 60
Subject Country South Korea(Asia and Pacific)
Language English
File Type Documents
Original Format pdf
Subject Economy < Economic Administration
Industry and Technology < General
Holding KIET; KDI School