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5⋅24 조치 이후 북중무역과 남북교역의 변화 분석(ROK economic sanction and DPRK foreign trade: Changing relation between DPRK-China trade and inter-Korean trade)

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Title 5⋅24 조치 이후 북중무역과 남북교역의 변화 분석(ROK economic sanction and DPRK foreign trade: Changing relation between DPRK-China trade and inter-Korean trade)
Similar Titles
Material Type Reports
Author(Korean)

이석

Publisher

서울:한국개발연구원

Date 2013-08
Series Title; No 정책연구시리즈 / 2013-02
ISBN 978-89-8063-780-5(93320)
Pages 92
Subject Country China(Asia and Pacific)
North Korea(Asia and Pacific)
South Korea(Asia and Pacific)
Language Korean
File Type Documents
Original Format pdf
Subject Economy < Trade
Economy < Economic Administration
Holding 한국개발연구원; KDI 국제정책대학원

Abstract

This report studies the changes in both DPRK-China trade and North-South Korean trade, since ROK’s economic sanction on North Korea in May 2010. In particular, it analyses whether or how DPRK-China trade has substituted North-South Korean trade since the ROK sanction; using ROK and Chinese monthly trade statistics between January 2008 and December 2012. The main findings of the report are as follows. First, compared to the 2009 level before the ROK sanction, DPRK’s export to ROK declined by 38 million US dollars on a monthly average between July 2010 and December 2012. In contrast, its export to China increased by 130 million dollars during the same period. Second, of the decline of DPRK’s export to ROK, only 36.5 percent (13 million dollar on monthly average) has been substituted by the increase of DPRK’s corresponding export to China. In terms of DPRK’s export to China, only 10 percent of total increase during this period has been attributed to that substitution. Third, those figures suggest that, although the increase of DPRK’s export to China has well surpassed the decrease of its export to ROK since the sanction, the former has not necessarily substituted the latter.