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공적연금 재정추계모형 개발(Actuarial modelling of public pension schemes) : 공무원연금 재정추계모형을 중심으로(Focusing on projection models for the government employees pension system in Korea)

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Frame of Image 외 여 러 분들의 적극적인 노력과 협조가 있었다. 본 보고서의 작성 및 공무원 연금제도 재정추계모형의 개발은 원내 이태석, 최용옥, 김도형 박사가 공 동으로 수행하였다. 저자들은 공무원연금공단과 본원의 연구협력 MOU 체결을 위해 노력한 유경준 박사와 연구협력을 적극적으로 지원한 최재 식 공무원연금공단 이사장과 이각희 공무원연금연구소 소장에게 감사를 표하며, 공무원연금 재정추계모형의 연구자문과 기초분석자료 협조를 위
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해 많은 시간과 노력을 아끼지 않은 공무원연금연구소의 김재경 박사, 김정록 부장, 김용철 차장, 조상연 대리, 정은덕 주임에게 고마움을 전한 다. 그리고 유익한 검토 의견을 주신 익명의 원내외 전문가들과 연구진 을 지원한 본원의 김신영, 권태구, 이지현 연구원, 보고서 편집을 도와준 임찬순, 고현숙 행정원, 보고서 최종 교정을 위해 수고한 류세희 편집팀 장에게도 감사의 마음을 전한다. 마지막으로 본 보고서에 제시된 견해는 집필자들의 개인적 의견이며, 본원의 공식 견해가 아님을 밝혀 두는 바이다.
2016년 6월 한국개발연구원 원장
김준경
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발간사 요 약 ······························································································································ 1
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서론 ···················································································································· 3
제 장 공무원연금제도 개관······················································································ 7 2
제1절 공무원연금제도 개요 ·············································································· 7
1. 공무원연금제도의 의의 ··········································································· 7 2. 급여 ········································································································· 8 3. 비용부담 ·································································································· 9
제2절 공무원연금제도의 변천 ··········································································· 9
1. 도입기(1949~62년) ······························································


Full Text
Title 공적연금 재정추계모형 개발(Actuarial modelling of public pension schemes)
Similar Titles
Sub Title

공무원연금 재정추계모형을 중심으로(Focusing on projection models for the government employees pension system in Korea)

Material Type Reports
Author(Korean)

이태석; 최용옥; 김도형

Publisher

세종 : 한국개발연구원

Date 2016
Series Title; No 연구보고서 / 2016-04
ISBN 979-11-5932-188-7
Pages 240
Subject Country South Korea(Asia and Pacific)
Language Korean
File Type Documents
Original Format pdf
Subject Economy < Financial Policy
Social Development < Social Welfare
Holding 한국개발연구원; KDI국제정책대학원
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Abstract

We construct an actuarial model of the Government Employee Pension system in Korea and evaluate the aggregate fiscal effects of the 2015 reform as well as the marginal effects of the individual measures included in the reform package. We find that our model estimates are very close to those used in the 2015 reform process by the government, which suggests that there was no evident governmental bias in estimates given the projection assumptions. Among the measures of the reform packages, the increase in the contribution rate and the cut in the accrual rate create the largest savings in the pension finance. In particular, the annual savings from the cut in the accrual rate grow in magnitude initially from a third of those from the increase in the contribution rate to a similar level eventually. Finally, results from a series of sensitivity tests and scenario analyses suggest that choosing actuarial assumptions which reflect changing population and economy in Korea can be critical in making good long-range estimates.