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한국의 장기재정모형(A long-term fiscal model)

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  • 한국의 장기재정모형(A long-term fiscal model)
  • 박형수; 류덕현
  • 한국조세연구원


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Title 한국의 장기재정모형(A long-term fiscal model)
Similar Titles
Material Type Reports
Author(Korean)

박형수; 류덕현

Publisher

서울:한국조세연구원

Date 2006-12
Series Title; No 연구보고서 / 06-12
ISBN 978-89-8191-344-7
Pages 200
Subject Country South Korea(Asia and Pacific)
Language Korean
File Type Link
Subject Economy < Financial Policy
Holding 한국조세연구원

Abstract

This study develops a long-term fiscal model to project central government’s revenue and expenditure in the long run with the changes of demographic and macroeconomic sectors.
We make a long-term projection of central government’s public finance up to the year of 2050 based on the following macroeconomic and demographic assumptions; to the year of 2010, we use the assumptions of ‘mid-term fiscal framework of 2006~2010’, and through the year of 2050, we forecast population by sex and age, the potential growth rate, the rate of employment by sex and age, the age-related expenditures – such as health, primary and secondary education, child care, national basic livelihood, public pension – fiscal deficit, debt to GDP ratio, etc., using this long-term fiscal model. (The rest omitted)