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미래 경제사회 변화 전망에 따른 미래성장동력 발굴과 기술혁신정책(Selecting future growth engine industries and prioritizing technological innovation strategies (II)) : Reflecting global and Korean mega-trends

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  • 미래 경제사회 변화 전망에 따른 미래성장동력 발굴과 기술혁신정책(Selecting future growth engine industries and prioritizing technological innovation strategies (II))
  • Bae, Yong-Ho배용호; 최지선; 이우성; 황석원; 이주량; 하태정; 장병열; 고분이; 김보영; 정호석
  • 과학기술정책연구원


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Title 미래 경제사회 변화 전망에 따른 미래성장동력 발굴과 기술혁신정책(Selecting future growth engine industries and prioritizing technological innovation strategies (II))
Similar Titles
Sub Title

Reflecting global and Korean mega-trends

Material Type Reports
Author(English)

Bae, Yong-Ho

Author(Korean)

배용호; 최지선; 이우성; 황석원; 이주량; 하태정; 장병열; 고분이; 김보영; 정호석

Publisher

서울:과학기술정책연구원

Date 2010-12
Series Title; No 정책연구 / 10-06
ISBN 978-89-6112-110-1
Pages 362
Subject Country South Korea(Asia and Pacific)
Language Korean
File Type Link
Subject Industry and Technology < Science/Technology
Holding 과학기술정책연구원

Abstract

This paper attempts to develop and apply the new methodologies that help to
search for and to set up the priorities of future promising industries and to
develop effective and customized industrial innovation policies for the selected
industries. It is meaningful in that a series of questions as to the accuracy and
the utility of the results have been raised although the efforts to search for the
future growth engine industries have been ongoing by public and private actors
over a decade.
This paper is composed of three steps: First, two kinds of methodologies are
developed to help select new promising industries and prioritize the most
appropriate innovation polices. Two composite indexes called the "Korea Future
Technology Index (KOFTI)" and the "KOFTI-Policy Index" are created based on
reviewing previous literature, and holding brainstorming conferences with external
experts and internal researchers. Second, empirical analyses are performed with
74 candidate brands using the methodologies. Third, implications towards policy
formulation are drawn from the empirical analyses.
The KOFTI combines three individual indexes:the Economic Value Index, the
Technological Value Index, and the Public Value Index. Each individual index
is calculated based on several quantitative and qualitative measurement variables.
This second-year research is improved from the first-year one, in that it puts together the three individual indices with the weight values that reflect a desirable
future society in the year 2020 based on the questionnaire survey of a thousand
people. Some measurement variables are also added or changed to improve the
reliability of the indices. The KOFTI is tested with the empirical analysis of 74
candidate brands. The top 11 brands called the "K11 brands" are decided,
including the next-generation wireless communication, the next-generation
display, the intelligent car, the LED applications, the next-generation convergence
network, the system semi-conductors, the medicine healthcare, the green car, the
Bio pharmaceuticals, the solar cells, and the next-generation sensor networks. In
addition to that, this research also puts much importance on the specialized
brands of the top-10 brands by each individual index.
The "KOFTI-Policy Index (KOFTI-PI)" is defined and empirically measured from
selected KOFTI brands. The KOFTI-PI is the index to measure the degree of
influence of specific technology innovation polices if applied to each brand. The
analyses about the KOFTI K11 brands, the Economic Value Brands, the
Leading-Technology Brands, and the Public Value Brands reveal that the
technological innovation polices with high values in theKOFTI-PI are different from
one anotherto some extent. According to the results, IT convergence brands
(belonging to the Leading-Technology Brands) need to strengthen regulation and
institution policies, while Broadcasting/telecommunication convergence brands
should put much more importance on the market-creating policies such as
standards/intellectual property policies. The Economic Value Brands are
recommended to expand the policies that help to improve the technological
capabilities such as basic/generic technology development capabilities, R&D actor
capabilities, and R&D human personnel capabilities. The Public Value Brands are
better to focus on the innovation policies relevant to the cooperation with external
R&D partners and the government intervention was positively evaluated in the type.
As a final step, this paper compares the results of the empirical analyses with
the current main innovation policies of the governments, using the tool of the
misalignment analysis, and suggests the desirable development paths of the
technology innovation policies of the selected KOFTI Brands as Korea’s new
growth engine industries.