This research estimates the supply and demand for doctors, dentists, oriental medicine doctors, dental technicians, and dental hygienists up until 2010, and contributes to supply and demand plans for comprehensive medical service manpower by suggesting supply plans for medical service manpower. A demographical method was used for supply estimation, and a manpower vs. population ratio method and an economy-demographical method using regression analysis were used for demand estimation. The main models used for regression analysis were a modified logistic model and a log linear model.
An oversupply of medical doctors is expected in the future, provided that the demand for medical doctors based on current medical treatments continues to be lower than supply. However, since an oversupply, the improvement of patient inconvenience due to medical waiting time and medicine waiting time and the improvement of treatment time are currently considered, it is difficult to estimate with current data. For dentists, the supply may not be short, however the demand for dentists should be enhanced through changes in oral health policy, changes in the use of dental treatment, the utilization of oral health assistant staff, and changes in treatment productivity. For oriental medicine doctors, an imbalance between supply and demand is expected due to an oversupply from the year 2000 onwards. Measures to increase the use of oriental medicine doctors should be studied through the introduction of an oriental medicine public health system and regulations against oriental medical practice by unlicensed providers.
For dental technicians, current employment rate is under 50 percent due to an oversupply. In order to resolve this problem, it is advisable to regulate unlicensed technicians and lower the extant supply by 30 percent or more. Also, it is necessary to improve education conditions. For dental hygienists, supply is far less than demand. More hygienists should be trained and their employment structure should be improved.
- 장단기 보건의료인력 수급에 관한 연구II(Study on long and short term supply and demand for health and medical service manpower)
- 인경석; 이상석
장단기 보건의료인력 수급에 관한 연구II(Study on long and short term supply and demand for health and medical service manpower)
간호사, 간호조무사, 약사, 의료기사 (임상병리사, 방사선사, 물리치료사)
서울 : 한국보건사회연구원
|Series Title; No||연구 / 1991-23|
|Subject Country||South Korea(Asia and Pacific)|
|Subject||Social Development < Health|