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Korean security and unification dilemmas : A Russian perspective

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  • Korean security and unification dilemmas
  • Toloraya, Georgy
  • Korea Economic Institute of America


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Title Korean security and unification dilemmas
Similar Titles
Sub Title

A Russian perspective

Material Type Articles
Author(English)

Toloraya, Georgy

Publisher

Washington, D.C.:Korea Economic Institute of America

Date 2015-06
Series Title; No On Korea: Academic Paper Series / vol. 9
Pages 9
Subject Country South Korea(Asia and Pacific)
Russia(Europe)
Language English
File Type Link
Subject Industry and Technology < Energy
Government and Law < National security
Government and Law < International Politics
Holding Korea Economic Institute of America

Abstract

Russia, one of the four important players in Korea, is focused on Korea due to its “turn to the East” policy. It is increasingly less interested in a momentous Korean unification under the ROK’s guidance which would result in a sudden shift of balance of power in the region. The nuclear issue is also less urgent now, while the goals of stability and peaceful dialogue, cooperation, and eventual reconciliation between the two Koreas are at the forefront. A collapse of the DPRK, not impossible in principle, is not imminent. Pressure and isolation do not bring it any closer. The stand-off between the U.S. and Russia and the rivalry between the U.S. and China make it doubtful that the DPRK can be brought down peacefully in a “soft landing” scenario. The alternative is “conventionalizing” North Korea through evolutional internal reforms—impossible in the absence of security guarantees. (The rest omitted)