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China's structural change and the impact on Korea's industrial growth
China's structural change and the impact on Korea's industrial growth04
| Title |
China's structural change and the impact on Korea's industrial growth
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| Material Type | Videos |
| Author(English) |
Korea Development Institute |
| Publisher |
[Sejong] : Korea Development Institute |
| Date | 2016-09 |
| Subject Country | China(Asia and Pacific) South Korea(Asia and Pacific) |
| Language | English |
| File Type | Link |
| Subject | Economy < General Industry and Technology < General Government and Law < International Politics |
| Holding | Korea Development Institute |
| License |  |
Abstract
This study examines the impact from the increase in China’s domestic final demand on the growth of Korean industries, attempts to predict how China’s structural change will affect the industrial growth pattern, and presents policy implications. Firstly, let’s examine how the growth of Korean industries will be affected by the growth in China’s domestic final demand. China’s domestic demand increased ten fold from 1995 to 2014, jumping from 6 trillion to 62.3 trillion yuan. To understand this remarkable growth, China’s domestic demand was divided into four product categories; non-durable goods, durable goods, utilities and construction, and services. The demand by category shows that non-durable goods account for the largest share in 1995 and smallest in 2014, while the opposite is true for durable goods. Then, what impact will this growth trend have on Korea’s GDP? Our estimates find that, from 1995 to 2014, the impact from a 1% increase in China’s domestic final demand would be more severe for Korea, regardless of the product category. However, the level varies across the board, with the impact from the demand for durable goods surging 11 fold.
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