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China's structural change and the impact on Korea's industrial growth

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  • China's structural change and the impact on Korea's industrial growth
  • Korea Development Institute
  • Korea Development Institute


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Title China's structural change and the impact on Korea's industrial growth
Similar Titles
Material Type Video
Author(English)

Korea Development Institute

Publisher

[Sejong] : Korea Development Institute

Date 2016-09
Subject Country China(Asia and Pacific)
South Korea(Asia and Pacific)
Language English
File Type Link
Subject Economy < General
Industry and Technology < General
Government and Law < International Politics
Holding Korea Development Institute
License

Abstract

This study examines the impact from the increase in China’s domestic final demand on the growth of Korean industries, attempts to predict how China’s structural change will affect the industrial growth pattern, and presents policy implications. Firstly, let’s examine how the growth of Korean industries will be affected by the growth in China’s domestic final demand. China’s domestic demand increased ten fold from 1995 to 2014, jumping from 6 trillion to 62.3 trillion yuan. To understand this remarkable growth, China’s domestic demand was divided into four product categories; non-durable goods, durable goods, utilities and construction, and services. The demand by category shows that non-durable goods account for the largest share in 1995 and smallest in 2014, while the opposite is true for durable goods. Then, what impact will this growth trend have on Korea’s GDP? Our estimates find that, from 1995 to 2014, the impact from a 1% increase in China’s domestic final demand would be more severe for Korea, regardless of the product category. However, the level varies across the board, with the impact from the demand for durable goods surging 11 fold.